H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Haiti ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually become less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer assistance is now recommending that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) became a big and incredibly powerful cyclone that triggered huge damage and significant death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood protection system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with big locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have now been provided for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means typhoon conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy should spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered hurricane cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone professionals formerly cautioned cyclones could form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major hazards and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy